• Trump keeps Canada, Mexico (and the markets) on the edge
  • Zelensky bends the knee…will there be peace finally ?
  • Can US become the crypto capital of the world ?
  • Will this bottom hold or is it just a pause again ?

Global Markets

YTD Performance

Looks like money has moved out of US as well and now into China !

3-Macros

$₹ / Gold / Oil

We look at the 3 Macros that affect Indian market viz., $₹ / Gold / Oil

USD/₹ : rupee remains weak as along as above 50dma

Gold : retest, pulled into 50dma and may go into new high zone

Oil : weak, living below the 10wma

Marketcaps

Perf Charts

We compare YTD vs 3M returns to check where the money is flowing

YTD Basis : Nifty, Cnx500, Midcaps

3M Basis : Nifty, Cnx500, Midcaps

Micro-caps are on the move now and the 3M RSI is now above 60 for the first time after 4-Feb showing growing momentum.

The Market

CNX500

The fib618 support held for the 3rd time as well…as of this week.

Still not a time to get aggressive till market breadth improves but testing the water would not be a bad idea with leading names in leading sectors.

Nothing good happens below the 200dma.

Market Breadth

New Highs / New Lows

We are still below the zero line……no choice but to wait patiently for market breadth to improve


Sectoral Analysis

Performance and RS

We compare YTD-RS vs 3M-RS to check sector rotation in market

YTD Basis : Metals, Commodities, Finance

3M Basis : Metals, Pvtbanks, Finance

Industry Groups

Leadership / Strength

Commodities Outlook

Perf Chart

We compare YTD vs 3M to check which Commodities are on the move

YTD Basis : Naturalgas, Copper, Gold

3M Basis : Naturalgas, Gold, Aluminium

Crypto Outlook

Perf Chart

We compare YTD vs 3M to check which Crypto is outperforming the custom index?

YTD Basis : USDC, XRP, TRX

3M Basis : USDC, XRP, BTC

Ai (active investing)

Trade Plan

Testing the water….


Jindalstel

Weekly Chart

Chambal Fertilizers

Weekly Chart

SRF

Weekly Chart

Hindalco

Weekly Chart

Your job as an investor is to find the next apple and handle it well.

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