• is it really T for Trump or T for Turmoil in the markets ?
  • The most awaited double bottom !
  • One sector that’s making its mark, budget effect or seasonality ?
  • Which asset class for 2025?

Global Markets

YTD Performance

It’s not T for Trump its T for “Time off” from stock market.

The waters are too rough for ships to sail and its best to stay at the shores.

In other asset classes like metals aluminium has been gaining ground while gold and silver seem to have paused for last 2 weeks.

3-Macros

$₹ / Gold / Oil

We look at the 3 Macros that affect Indian market viz., $₹ / Gold / Oil

USD/₹ : consolidation

Gold : consolidation

Oil : now below 10wma, Stage 3 consolidation

The Market

CNX500

We are now stuck in a range between 21000 and 20500 since 13/2/25 and it feels like forever.

The market is not able to hold a double bottom after giving hopes at least 5 times since Oct’24

Nothing good happens below the 200…and the market is right where it needs to be.

Market Breadth

New Highs / New Lows

We are still below the zero line……Stay out, stay in cash or look at Metals.


Sectoral Analysis

Performance and RS

We compare YTD-RS vs 3M-RS to check sector rotation in market.

YTD Basis : Metals, Pvtbank, Finance

3M Basis : Finance, Metals, Pvtbanks

Industry Groups

Leadership / Strength

Ai (Active Investing)

Ideas for next week

Naturalgas

Daily Chart

Copper

Weekly chart

Your job as an investor is to find the next apple and handle it well.

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