Losers give excuses, Champions do whatever it takes !
Global Markets
YTD Performance
With US in correction, Nikkei and European markets are having a ball !

Market Breadth
New Highs / New Lows
With the New Year hangover..over, we’re right now at a net -173 and usually the downfall has been ending at mid -190s
Its a tough market to make any money, best to sit on the fence.

Nifty 500
The Market
The last we saw CNX500 close below 40wma was in the week of 20/2/23. What’s happening now is a repeat of Feb-23 and so its time to sit 100% with cash and not invested.
Time for short? Only if we get a follow through to last week’s candle on the down-side with the break of the key support level.
For now we’re oversold for a bounce…let’s see if that sustains to decide the next move.

Note the Steps 1..2..3.. which will be repeated once a bottom is made…whenever that is.
3-Macros
$₹ / Gold / Oil
We look at the 3 Macros that affect Indian market viz., $₹ / Gold / Oil

USD/INR : Massive USD going out of country
Gold : showing trend change
Oil : breakout
Sectors
Performance
We compare YTD-RS vs 3M-RS to check sector rotation in market.
YTD Basis : IT, Fmcg, Oil&Gas
3M Basis : IT, Finance, ConsumerDurables

Investing ideas for next week
It’s time to protect capital, no long or short for now.
2 responses to “10.1.25 : The Market Barometer”
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Thanks for very simple way of analysis. Your stage analysis master class helping me a lot. I am really greatful for teaching about CUP as well. Jigar
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Glad to know I’ve been able to help you discover your trading edge!
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